Mortality doubling time
DESterblichkeits-Verdopplungszeit
Reviewed by Maurice Lichtenberg
Mortality doubling time (MDT) is the number of years it takes for age-specific mortality risk to double, derived directly from the Gompertz exponent b as MDT = ln(2)/b. In contemporary high-income populations, the MDT for all-cause mortality is approximately 7–8 years in mid-adulthood, meaning a 50-year-old's annual risk of dying is roughly twice that of a 42–43-year-old. MDT is a compact summary of the rate of actuarial ageing and is used comparatively across species (where it varies from months in short-lived organisms to decades in naked mole-rats and humans) and across population subgroups, enabling detection of interventions that alter ageing rate rather than merely shifting baseline mortality.
Sources
- Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS. (2001). The reliability theory of aging and longevity. *Journal of Theoretical Biology*doi:10.1006/jtbi.2001.2430
- Gompertz B. (1825). Gompertz, B. On the nature of the function expressive of the law of human mortality. *Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London*doi:10.1098/rstl.1825.0026
